Chapter 4 | Page 179
Despite increasing revenue generation over time, Maldives is currently
spending beyond its means and financing the budget risks affecting the real
economy.181 The gap between revenue and expenditure has been widening
substantially over recent years.182 This has created an enormous debt burden
that could negatively impact the ability of the government to sustain future
spending in key areas of ESC rights.
4.4.2.2 Deficit financing and debt sustainability
The Government of Maldives follows an expansionary fiscal policy with total
expenditure increasing by 20.6 percent in 2014 from 3.5 percent growth in
2013. The overall budget deficit has widened to 11.6 percent of GDP in
2014.183 The Maldives Monetary Authority (MMA)184 reported that, although
total tax revenue collection in 2013 exceeded the expected value, non-tax
revenue was lower than anticipated, thereby offsetting the increased tax
revenue.185 The debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to deteriorate further to about
96 percent by 2015 unless strong measures are taken to bring the fiscal and
debt situation, which has created problems with regard to future borrowing,
back to sustainable levels.186 The World Bank notes that government spending
is unsustainably high relative to available fiscal resources and that the country
is already at high risk of debt distress.187
In the face of inadequate revenue generation, the Maldives government
adopted three main approaches to deficit financing: short-term commercial
borrowing from banks and the private sector; monetisation of the deficit; and
181
The World Bank, Maldives Development Update 2013 (The World Bank, Washington,
D.C., 2013), <http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer
/WDSP/IB/2013/12/06/000356161_20131206154350/Rendered/PDF/829560REVISED00ri
ef020130Dec0final.pdf>.
182
For example, in 2013, the total expenditures of the government were above 42 percent of
the GDP, while the total revenue collection stayed at just 32.8 percent.
183
Asian Development Bank, Asian Development Outlook 2015: Financing Asia’s Future
Growth (ADB, Manila, 2015), <http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication
/154508/ado-2015.pdf>.
184
The MMA is the Central Bank of Maldives.
185
Maldives Monetary Authority, above n 176, 20.
186
The World Bank, above n 181, 4.
187
The World Bank, above n 73, 2.
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