-26number of long-lived elderly dependents. The Task Force Report projects the
following dependency ratios from 2002 to 2031:
69.
Year
Child
Elderly
Overall
2002
223
158
381
2006
203
162
365
2011
180
164
344
2016
178
198
376
2021
179
245
424
2026
180
313
493
2031
182
380
562
These figures indicate the projected numbers of children (those
under 15) and the estimated numbers of elderly persons (those over 65) who
will be dependent on every 1,000 persons between the ages of 15 and 65. Thus,
in 2002, for every 1,000 persons aged between 15 and 65, there were estimated
to be 223 child dependents and 158 elderly dependents with a total overall
dependency ratio of 381.
It was projected that over the years, the child
dependency ratio would decline while the elderly dependency ratio would
markedly increase from the year 2016 onwards.
70.
This obviously has serious implications for the cost of caring for the
elderly. The Task Force puts this as follows:
“One serious economic problem caused by an accelerated increase in the number of
elderly people in the population is social security payments. The Government is
committed to providing financial assistance to elderly people in need. More than
600,000 persons aged 60 or above receive financial assistance through either the
CSSA or the Old Age Allowance (OAA). ... Total Government expenditure in
financial assistance for elders is estimated to be $11.8 billion in 2002-03, accounting
for 5.4% of recurrent public expenditure and representing an increase of 50% when
compared to the $7.8 billion paid out in 1997-98. The CSSA and OAA Schemes are
funded entirely from General Revenue and are non-contributory. Should the rate of
payment and eligibility for the OAA remain unchanged, it is estimated that by 2031,
the total payment for OAA alone will rise to $10.4 billion. That for CSSA on elderly
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