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C E N T E R F O R WO M E N ' S G LO B A L L E A D E R S H I P
save part of their income. The result is that VAT payments account for a larger share
of the income of lower-income households relative to high-income households.
Incidence analysis looks at the tax contributions of different households in
relation to their income. This analysis can be used to analyze tax contributions by
household, either by looking at individual taxes (sales tax, VAT, income tax, etc.)
or by amalgamating them all and determining what share of income goes in tax
payments. This type of analysis can show how much low-income households pay
in taxes, as a percentage of their income, relative to richer households, and how
much is paid by households with differing gender characteristics (e.g., sex of head
of household, sex of primary earner, etc.).17 Regressive taxation regimes, which
require the poor and disadvantaged to pay more of their income than the rich, are
questionable from the perspective of non-discrimination, while progressive tax
regimes, which make more use if income and wealth taxes, are generally more
able to mobilize domestic revenue equitably across households.
The Implications of Higher Tax Rates for
Economic Growth
One common concern is that higher taxes on businesses and wealthy households
will reduce investment and, hence, growth and employment. Such an impact could
conceivably limit the generation of resources available for realizing economic and
social rights.
However, lower tax rates and various kinds of tax allowances may just be
windfall gains for businesses and wealthy households who would have invested
anyway. The primary reasons companies invest (e.g., market access, the
availability of an educated labor force, strategic export platforms, or the presence
of natural resources) may have little to do with tax levels.
Mobilizing tax revenues to invest in economic and social infrastructure can
do more to generate robust economic growth in the long-term. The existence of a
highly-educated, productive workforce and quality economic infrastructure (e.g.,
utilities, transportation) can provide a much stronger incentive for the private
sector to invest rather than lower taxes. Prosperity and high rates of tax to GDP
certainly go together in the higher income countries that are members of the
OECD. The average tax to GDP ratio in these countries rose from 30.1 percent in
1970 to 35.5 percent in 2000. In developing countries, the average tax ratio did not
change very much, rising from 16.2 percent in the 1970s to 17.0 percent in 2000.18
Economic Cycles, Tax Policy, and Human Rights
Obligations
To uphold the principle of non-retrogression, any human rights-centered tax
policy must be able to manage the ‘booms’ and ‘busts’ of modern capitalist
economies in ways which reduce the negative consequences of drastic revenue
shortfalls in downturns, which make difficult for states to maintain spending